New Hampshire primary

A few days ago, Hillary Rodham Clinton surprisingly won the New Hampshire primary finishing ahead of Barack Obama and John Edwards. It was surprising because all the polls leading up to the vote showed Obama with a large lead ranging from 9% to 14% depending on the various polls. My last entry mentioned the office pool for the Iowa Caucus. I finished near the bottom because of my prediction that Clinton would take first, Obama second and Edwards third. This time around, I did not participate because I know I would have chosen Clinton first, Obama second and Edwards third. And the polling showed I would be tossing my money away if I did that. Everyone in the office picked the same slate for the Democrats so had I played, I would have won. Oh well, that is what I get for following opinion polls instead of my own intuition.

The primary race is now a two horse race on the Democratic side. Although John Edwards is still in the race, I do not believe he has much of a chance to overtake either of the front runners. I still think Hillary Clinton will become the nominee of the Democratic party, but it will be long and difficult race. Which I think is good because she (or should I be wrong, Obama) would be battle tested for the general election later this year against whichever candidate wins the nomination in the muddled Republican primaries.

All I can say is that this primary is a lot more exciting than I thought it would be a few months ago. But my money will be on Hillary.